You know what that means: I’ll be sitting here in my lovely dorm room for the next 4 days studying calling in sick watching the first two rounds of the tournament! For all you college basketball lovers, I recommend getting March Madness On Demand: It’s free, and you can watch every game that’s not being covered by CBS the next four days.
As for the glory of March Madness itself, everyone knows that what comes with 63 games of intriguing college basketball to determine a national champion are the brackets. And with 9.22 E18 ways to predict a bracket (just plugged that one into my calculator…) the possibilities are endless. Here’s my take on how it will go down…
Starting in the East (upper left of the bracket), I see no big surprises to start.
(1) UNC / (8) Indiana / (5) Notre Dame / (4) Wash. St. / (11) St. Joseph’s / (3) Louisville / (7) Butler / (2) Tennessee will advance to the second round.
Again, nothing bad in the Midwest (lower left) through the first round.
Advancing are (1) Kansas / (8) UNLV / (5) Clemson / (4) Vandy / (6) USC / (3) Wisconsin / (10) Davidson / (2) Georgetown.
The right side of my bracket has the bolder upsets in the first round. Starting with the South (upper right):
(1) Memphis / (8) Miss. St. / (12) Temple / (4) Pitt / (6) Marquette / (3) Stanford / (10) St. Mary’s / (2) Texas
And, again, getting a little bold in the West (lower right), which holds my biggest upset of the first round:
(1) UCLA / (9) A&M / (5) Drake / (13) San Diego / (11) Baylor / (3) Xavier / (10) Arizona / (2) Duke
All in all, not a big first-round upset in the pack, with the exceptions being Temple and San Diego, a 12 and a 13, respectively. I have two 11’s, 3 10’s, 1 9, which amounts to only 8 “upsets”.
The second round’s a little different…
Heading to Charlotte in my bracket are: (1) UNC / (5) Notre Dame / (3) Louisville / (7) Butler.
Heading to Detroit: (1) Kansas / (5) Clemson / (6) USC / (10) Davidson
Making the sixteen in Houston, I have: (1) Memphis / (4) Pitt / (3) Stanford / (2) Texas
And going to Phoenix: (1) UCLA / (5) Drake / (3) Xavier / (2) Duke.
One bracket holds true to seed lines. Another replaces a 5 with a 4. The two left-side brackets hold the big upsets for me, with Butler defeating Tennessee, USC over Wisconsin, and Davidson as my cinderella over Georgetown.
Now, to the regional semifinals…
Advancing from the East are (1) UNC / (7) Butler.
From the Midwest: (1) Kansas / (6) USC
From the South: (4) Pitt / (2) Texas
And from the West: (1) UCLA / (3) Xavier
USC defeats Davidson in a battle of two of the three lowest seeds remaining. Pitt takes out Memphis, the first of the 1-seeds to go. And Butler moves into the 8 with a win over Louisville.
Still dancing in San Antonio:
From Charlotte: (1) UNC.
From Detroit: (1) Kansas.
From Houston: (2) Texas.
From Phoenix: (1) UCLA.
I don’t like the fact that I have three 1-seeds in the final four, but I believe that each team will make it through, as it’s that kind of year in college basketball, where the best 5 or 6 teams are so far ahead of the pack than the others. I have had (and still do have) my qualms about Kansas over USC, but I don’t think that OJ Mayo alone can carry the Trojans all the way to the four.
So now, going from four to one in San Antonio…
The Championship game will be a contest pitting (arguably) the two best teams in the nation against each other. North Carolina will defeat Kansas in a hard-fought battle. UCLA will get revenge upon Texas from beating them at home early in the year, and beat them near their own home.
UCLA will take down the nets, following a thrilling, 70-65 victory over the Heels.
Send me your brackets. I’ll put you in my pool, complete with my revised, strike-style scoring system, that gives you some credit for being bold, predicting upsets, and forgives you if your bracket is busted. More on that in a post to come… but I’m off to bed. Enjoy the games this coming weekend!
–jl–